
Explanation:
If defaults are expected to occur mid-year, the time period for discounting expected payments to their present value would be half a year less compared to a default at the end of the year. As a result, the discount factor would be greater for a shorter discounting period , thereby making the present value of the expected payoff higher due to less discounting.
B is incorrect. A longer discounting period would decrease, not increase, the present value.
C is incorrect. The timing of default has a direct effect on the present value due to the discounting of cash flows.
D is incorrect. The effect on the present value can be determined with the given default timing and risk-free rate.
Things to Remember.
For valuing CDS contracts, it is important to make explicit assumptions about the timing of potential default events
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Q.6067 When valuing a CDS, the risk manager must assume that within the year, a default might occur. If defaults are assumed to happen mid-year and the risk-free interest rate for discounting is 3% per annum with continuous compounding, how would the present value of the expected payoff be affected compared to a default at the end of the year?
A
The present value would be higher due to the shorter discounting period.
B
The present value would be lower due to the longer discounting period.
C
The assumption has no effect on the present value.
D
The effect on present value cannot be determined without specific payment rates.