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Explanation:
The Unilateral CVA (UCVA) from the perspective of the financial institution (FI) is calculated as: Where
The Bilateral CVA (BCVA) accounts for the survival probability of the other party (first-to-default). It is calculated as .
Where
The change in the CVA charge when switching from UCVA to BCVA is:
This is approximately AUD 392,400, corresponding to option D.
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The manager reports that the discounted expected positive exposure of the financial institution to the counterparty is AUD 48 million for the coming year and is the same amount as the discounted expected positive exposure of the counterparty to the financial institution over the same period. Additional information on the two entities for the coming year is shown below:
| Financial Institution | Counterparty | |
|---|---|---|
| Annual probability of default | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Expected recovery rate | 75% | 90% |
From the perspective of the financial institution, approximately what is the change in the charge if the analyst derives the BCVA instead of the UCVA?
A
AUD 141,600
B
AUD 320,400
C
AUD 390,100
D
AUD 392,400