
Explanation:
First, we calculate the daily mean and standard deviation for both arithmetic and geometric returns assuming 252 trading days per year.
1. Normal VaR (Using arithmetic returns):
$16% / 252 = 0.06349%$$27% / \sqrt{252} = 1.7008%$2. Lognormal VaR (Using geometric returns):
$13% / 252 = 0.05159%$$29% / \sqrt{252} = 1.8268%$$1 - \exp(R_{geom}) = 1 - \exp(-0.029626) = 1 - 0.970808 = 0.029192 \approx 2.92%$Therefore, Option C is correct.
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Assuming both daily arithmetic returns and daily geometric returns are serially independent, which of the following statements is correct?
A
The 1-day 95% normal VaR is 1.63% and the 1-day 95% lognormal VaR is 1.76%.
B
The 1-day 95% normal VaR is 2.69% and the 1-day 95% lognormal VaR is 2.88%.
C
The 1-day 95% normal VaR is 2.74% and the 1-day 95% lognormal VaR is 2.92%.
D
The 1-day 95% normal VaR is 3.26% and the 1-day 95% lognormal VaR is 3.48%.
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