
Explanation:
B is correct. We must use the given interest rate process ("Model 3" in the text) to calculate the change in rate from date 0 to date 1, and then again from date 1 to date 2. Since the standard deviation of is , the standard deviation of the rate change is .
The interest rate at the upper node of date 1 will be:
$0.0275 + 0.0018/12 + 0.005\cdot\sqrt{1/12} = 0.0275 + 0.0002 + 0.0014 = 0.0291$, or 2.91%
The interest rate at the upper node of date 2 will be:
$0.0291 + 0.0030/12 + 0.008\cdot\sqrt{1/12} = 0.0291 + 0.0003 + 0.0023 = 0.0317$, or 3.17%
Therefore, the change in the interest rate from the current level to the upper node at date 2 is $3.17% - 2.75% = 42$ bps.
A is incorrect. This answer choice does not use the square root of time in the volatility portion of the calculation.
The interest rate at the upper node of date 1 will be:
$0.0275 + 0.0018\cdot1/12 + 0.005\cdot1/12 = 0.0275 + 0.0002 + 0.0004 = 0.0281$, or 2.81%
The interest rate at the upper node of date 2 will be:
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In this process, represents the drift at date , represents the volatility at date , and is a normally distributed random variable with a mean of zero and a standard deviation of . The analyst uses the following inputs to make the calculations:
What is the change in the interest rate from the current level (date 0) to the upper node at date 2?
A
16 bps
B
42 bps
C
52 bps
D
178 bps
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