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Explanation:
The scenario describes a "volatility smile," which is typical in FX options markets. A volatility smile means that implied volatility increases for both deep out-of-the-money (OTM) and deep in-the-money (ITM) options compared to at-the-money (ATM) options. In terms of probability distributions, higher market prices for deep OTM puts (due to higher implied volatility) imply that the market is pricing in a higher probability of extreme downward movements, resulting in a heavier left tail. Similarly, higher market prices for deep OTM calls imply a higher probability of extreme upward movements, resulting in a heavier right tail. Thus, the implied distribution has heavier tails on both sides compared to the lognormal distribution assumed by the standard Black-Scholes-Merton model.
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A
The implied distribution has a heavier left tail and a less heavy right tail.
B
The implied distribution has a heavier left tail and a heavier right tail.
C
The implied distribution has a less heavy left tail and a heavier right tail.
D
The implied distribution has a less heavy left tail and a less heavy right tail.