
Explanation:
B is correct. The relationship between the variables is
where S is the spot price, U is the present value of the storage cost, R is the risk-free rate of interest and L is the lease rate.
First, calculate the ratio of $1 + R / 1 + L.9965 / 1.02250.97`46$
Then or $5,132$.
Learning Objective: Compute the forward price of a commodity with storage costs.
Reference: Global Association of Risk Professionals, Financial Markets and Products (New York, NY: Pearson, 2023), Chapter 11, Commodity Forwards and Futures
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Q-35. A risk manager at a commodity trading company wants to reduce the firm's risk exposure by selling 1,000 kilograms of commodity ST with a 1-year forward contract. Before entering into the position, the manager wants to estimate the fair forward price of commodity ST and gathers the following information:
Assuming zero convenience yield, which of the following is the best estimate of the fair 1-year forward price of commodity ST?
A
JPY 5,005
B
JPY 5,132
C
JPY 5,366
D
JPY 5,403
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