
Explanation:
The correct answer is D.
Since the manager is receiving a foreign currency payment (€500,000), the risk is that the euro will depreciate against the domestic currency before the payment is received. An option contract (specifically, a put option on the euro) is appropriate here because:
Choice A is incorrect. Forward contracts do not allow flexibility in exercising the contract — they are obligations that must be fulfilled.
Choice B is incorrect. While an option provides a guaranteed minimum exchange rate (the strike), it does not guarantee the actual exchange rate used. Moreover, the manager would need to buy a put option on the euro (right to sell euros), not an option that locks in a guaranteed rate.
Choice C is incorrect. Although forwards generally have no upfront premium cost (beyond potential margin/collateral requirements), the decision between a forward and an option should be based on the risk profile and the desire to retain upside potential, not just on upfront costs. Additionally, this choice ignores the asymmetric risk protection that an option provides.
Choice D is correct because it best captures the key advantage of using an option: asymmetric payoff — protection against adverse movements while retaining the benefit of favorable movements.
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Q.5351 A risk manager at a bank is trying to decide whether to use a forward or an option contract to hedge against currency risk. The manager expects to receive a foreign currency payment of €500,000 in three months. Which of the following statements is correct regarding the manager's decision?
A
The manager will choose a forward contract because it allows for flexibility in exercising the contract.
B
The manager will choose an option contract because it provides a guaranteed exchange rate for the foreign currency payment.
C
The manager will choose a forward contract because it has no upfront costs.
D
The manager will choose an option contract because it limits the downside risk if the exchange rate moves unfavorably.