
Explanation:
From the table, the probability of a man surviving to age 30 is 0.97372.
The probability that a new-born male dies between age 30 and 31 equals the probability that the newborn lives until age 30 (0.97372) and dies in the 30th year (0.001419).
Thus, the probability of a new-born male dying between his 30th and 31st birthday is:
$0.97372 \times 0.001419 = 0.00138$
This is calculated using the conditional probability formula where we need to find the probability that a newborn reaches age 30 (survival probability) and then dies between age 30 and 31 (probability of death within one year at age 30).
Q.1112 The following data gives the mortality experience among males in Europe in 1931.
| Age in years | Probability of death within one year | Survival probability | Life expectancy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.001419 | 0.97372 | 47.52 |
| 31 | 0.001445 | 0.97234 | 46.59 |
| 32 | 0.001478 | 0.97093 | 45.65 |
| 33 | 0.001519 | 0.97093 | 44.73 |
Calculate the probability of a new-born male dying between his 30th and 31st birthday.
A
0.97372
B
0.99862
C
0.001418
D
0.00138
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